Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern St.
Southland
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#131
Expected Predictive Rating+4.0#108
Pace84.8#1
Improvement+0.4#152

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#87
Improvement+0.8#126

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#200
Improvement-0.5#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round8.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2012 298   @ Campbell W 71-67 78%     1 - 0 -1.7 -6.4 +4.7
  Nov 20, 2012 92   @ LSU L 95-102 28%     1 - 1 +1.3 +5.3 -2.4
  Nov 26, 2012 95   @ Texas A&M L 65-78 29%     1 - 2 -4.8 -2.6 -2.3
  Nov 30, 2012 43   @ Oklahoma L 65-69 15%     1 - 3 +9.5 -3.8 +13.4
  Dec 04, 2012 86   Louisiana Tech W 89-83 50%     2 - 3 +8.4 +3.8 +3.4
  Dec 29, 2012 74   @ Arkansas L 61-79 23%     2 - 4 -7.8 -13.3 +7.6
  Jan 03, 2013 299   McNeese St. W 78-63 91%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +2.7 -7.1 +8.6
  Jan 05, 2013 346   Lamar W 86-58 98%     4 - 4 2 - 0 +5.8 -7.1 +8.9
  Jan 07, 2013 235   @ Sam Houston St. W 73-64 63%     5 - 4 3 - 0 +8.0 +2.5 +5.4
  Jan 10, 2013 163   @ Oral Roberts L 74-80 46%     5 - 5 3 - 1 -2.6 +1.4 -4.1
  Jan 12, 2013 301   @ Central Arkansas W 100-88 78%     6 - 5 4 - 1 +6.1 +6.9 -2.5
  Jan 17, 2013 288   Nicholls St. L 78-93 90%     6 - 6 4 - 2 -26.4 -16.9 -6.6
  Jan 19, 2013 280   SE Louisiana W 103-68 88%     7 - 6 5 - 2 +24.4 +14.9 +5.8
  Jan 26, 2013 83   Stephen F. Austin W 61-57 50%     8 - 6 6 - 2 +6.5 -6.9 +13.3
  Jan 31, 2013 346   @ Lamar W 85-63 94%     9 - 6 7 - 2 +6.3 -4.7 +7.9
  Feb 03, 2013 299   @ McNeese St. W 86-74 78%     10 - 6 8 - 2 +6.1 +3.4 +1.8
  Feb 07, 2013 163   Oral Roberts W 85-73 70%     11 - 6 9 - 2 +8.9 -1.4 +8.9
  Feb 09, 2013 301   Central Arkansas W 93-73 91%     12 - 6 10 - 2 +7.6 -7.7 +11.2
  Feb 14, 2013 280   @ SE Louisiana W 79-76 73%     13 - 6 11 - 2 -1.1 +3.4 -4.6
  Feb 16, 2013 288   @ Nicholls St. W 84-79 76%     14 - 6 12 - 2 +0.1 -2.6 +2.1
  Feb 19, 2013 310   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 82-71 80%     15 - 6 13 - 2 +4.6 +2.5 +1.7
  Feb 23, 2013 133   @ Niagara L 76-92 38%     15 - 7 -10.5 -0.5 -8.9
  Mar 02, 2013 83   @ Stephen F. Austin L 63-64 26%     15 - 8 13 - 3 +8.0 +4.3 +3.6
  Mar 07, 2013 310   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 66-51 92%     16 - 8 14 - 3 +2.1 -5.4 +9.4
  Mar 09, 2013 235   Sam Houston St. W 84-73 82%     17 - 8 15 - 3 +3.5 +12.7 -8.9
  Mar 15, 2013 235   Sam Houston St. W 55-52 74%     18 - 8 -1.2 -5.2 +4.5
  Mar 16, 2013 83   Stephen F. Austin W 68-66 37%     19 - 8 +7.7 +11.2 -3.3
Projected Record 19.0 - 8.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.6 1.8 38.6 59.5 0.1
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.6 1.8 38.6 59.5 0.1